Workshop Objectives
The Navy Marine Species Density Database (NMSDD) is among the primary resources for the Navy’s compliance with a suite of federal environmental regulations that apply to the marine environment. This workshop will explore the current state of the NMSDD, the Navy Acoustic Effects Model (NAEMO), current animal density modeling efforts, and outline next steps for future marine animal density modeling.
- Build consensus on next generation modeling approaches or ensembles to prototype for the USN Atlantic Testing and Training Range (AFTT).
- Discuss data gap assessment, gap filling methods, and creating a hierarchy of data quality
- Discuss the future beyond this modeling effort including data standards and model processes that enable repeatability of existing models.
- Discuss making project outputs publically available and re-usable through the web and web services.
DRAFT Schedule
Tuesday, November 13: Attendees arrive
7:00 PM Informal social – Thomas Center Lounge (cash bar)
Dinner on your own
Day 1, Wednesday November 14 – Problem Overview
9:30 AM Doors open, coffee
10:00 AM Introduction
Welcome / Meeting Objectives (Pat)
Logistics (Ben D)
Introductions
10:30 AM Context and Programmatic Needs
Navy AFTT density modeling needs (Anu)
NOAA remarks (Jolie)
Updates on ongoing projects
CetMap progress (Jolie / Pat)
AMAPPS (Debi / Lance)
Atlantic/GoMex modeling update (Duke)
Pacific modeling update (TBA)
12:00 PM Lunch – Thomas Center dining room
1:00 PM Extending density model
Overview of the problem (Pat)
Extent, seasonality, port/pierside
2:00 PM Data Availability: Moderated Discussion
Hierarchy of Types
Line Transect Surveys
Passive Acoustics
Platforms of Opportunity, new and non-traditional data sources
Data Sources
Future data collection
Navy
NAEMO Video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G6FGmVSnT5c
NOAA AMAPPS
3:00 PM Coffee Break/Free discussion
3:30 PM Statistical Approaches: Moderated Discussion
Overview of existing modeling approaches (Pat)
Model types
Feasibility and implementation
Error and uncertainty
Selection and validation
Edge matching
4:45 PM End of day wrap up
5:00 PM Break for the day
7:00 PM Meet for dinner
Day 2, Thursday, November 15 – Model Details
9:00 AM Day 2 overview and goals
9:30 AM Model approach brainstorming
Ensemble approach
10:30 AM Coffee Break/Free Discussion
11:00 AM Extrapolation and Gap filling
Spatial gaps
Navy Ports / Pierside
Offshore
Open Ocean
Temporal gaps
Seasonal Gaps
Taxonomic gaps
Taxonomic guilds, surrogates
Role of Expert Opinion
Validation of gap filling
12:00 PM Lunch – Thomas Center dining room
1:00 PM Addressing error, uncertainty and standards
What is possible? What is required?
Creating an hierarchy of data quality
Standards to streamline incorporating new data into existing models
3:00 PM Coffee Break
3:30 PM Implementation Timelines
NMSDD update process
Milestone map for implementation
Public and interagency access
Web services and upcoming technologies
4:45 PM End of day wrap up
5:00 PM Break for the day
7:00 PM Meet for dinner: Piedmont Restaurant
Day 3, Friday, November 16 – Next Steps
9:00 AM Review and next steps
10:30 AM Coffee Break
10:45 AM Discussion and wrap up
Priorities
Review process
12:00 PM Lunch – Thomas Center dining room
1:00 PM Meeting adjourns
Afternoon Sea Turtle breakout (as needed)